DELAX
INTEL
LIVE SIM
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Data Layers
📊
MACRO
📈
MARKET
⚡
GEOPOLITICAL
Scenario
BASE CASE
P=50%
ESCALATION
P=28%
DE-ESCALATION
P=22%
Key Markets
BRENT CRUDE
$121.88
WTI CRUDE
$118.20
NAT GAS (LNG)
$9.42
VIX
28.4
DXY (USD IDX)
104.82
GOLD
$2,318
US 10Y YIELD
4.38%
EM CREDIT SPREAD
+385bp
Chokepoints
HORMUZ
⚠ AT RISK
20% global oil
SUEZ
⚠ PARTIAL
12% global trade
BAB EL-MANDEB
⚠ MONITORED
9% global oil
MALACCA
✓ OPEN
25% global trade
Time Horizon
NOW
+0M
+36M
Stress Weights
Energy Dep.
30
Inflation
25
FX Pressure
20
Trade Disruption
15
Financial Stress
10
GLOBAL RISK GLOBE
Multi-Layer Economic Stress Intelligence
LIVE SIM
MACRO LAYER
⚠ ALERT:
Brent crude above $120 threshold · EM currency basket under pressure · Hormuz transit risk elevated · VIX > 28 signals elevated volatility
🌐
CLICK ANY COUNTRY
ON THE GLOBE
FOR DETAIL ANALYSIS
—
—
—
Stress Index
—
Composite /10
Oil Dependency
—
% import reliance
CPI (YoY)
—
Inflation rate
GDP Growth
—
Annual nowcast
FX Volatility
—
30D implied vol
Trade Balance
—
% of GDP
90-DAY STRESS INDEX TREND
CPI TRAJECTORY (12M)
AI Insights
SHOCK ENGINE
PROPAGATION TIMELINE
MODEL ACTIVE
Simulating contagion from Iran conflict across 60 countries using trade-finance-energy coupling.
⚡ BASE SCENARIO
SHOCK PROPAGATION CHAIN — REAL-TIME SIMULATION
⚔️
IRAN
CONFLICT
Active
🛢️
OIL
SPIKE
+56%
📈
INFLATION
SURGE
+3.8pp
🏦
CB
TIGHTENING
+200bp
📉
GROWTH
SLOWDOWN
-1.9%
💱
EM
PRESSURE
-14% FX
🚨
FOOD
CRISIS
+27%
MOST IMPACTED COUNTRIES